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Now, the company is betting on cancer drugs to help it regain its footing after a rocky year marked by the rapid decline of its Covid business. That $43 billion Seagen acquisition doubled Pfizer's oncology drug pipeline to 60 different experimental programs. Some analysts noted that it might take a few years for some of Pfizer's cancer drugs in mid-stage development to show pivotal clinical trial data and become less risky. Revenue from the blockbuster breast cancer drug Ibrance and prostate cancer treatment Xtandi, which Pfizer shares with Astellas Pharma, has declined over the past year. They are among the most expensive prescription drugs in the U.S. Before the Seagen deal, 94% of Pfizer's cancer products were small-molecule drugs.
Persons: Wall, Seagen, Chris Boshoff, Boshoff, David Ryder, Trung Huynh, Joe Biden's, Chris Schott, Suneet Varma, RemeGe, Merck, Padcev, Guggenheim, Pfizer's, Pfizer hasn't, Dr, Mikael Dolsten, Irfan Khan Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, Pfizer, Astellas Pharma, Guggenheim, Bloomberg, UBS, Medicare, Drug Administration, FDA, ADC, JPMorgan, Drugs, CNBC, CVS Pharmacy, Los Angeles Times Locations: Covid, Bothell , Washington, U.S, biologics, China, Eagle Rock , California
Wegovy contains semaglutide, the same active ingredient in Novo's type 2 diabetes drug Ozempic. A rising tide for Eli Lilly? Though the study was specifically about Wegovy, Wall Street sees a positive readthrough for similar medications from other providers, particularly Eli Lilly 's Zepbound. Similarly, UBS analyst Trung Huynh called the weekend data a "best-case" scenario for Eli Lilly. And the positive outcomes for both in the Wegovy study can be viewed as encouraging for how Zepbound should perform, the analyst added.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mark Purcell, Richard Vosser, Peter Verdult, Eli Lilly, Eli Lilly's, Lilly, Andrew Baum, Trung Huynh, That's, it's, Zepbound, Huynh, Citi's Baum, James Shin isn't, Michael Bloom, Christina Cheddar Berk, Angelica Peebles Organizations: Novo Nordisk, American Heart Association, cardiologists, JPMorgan, Citi, ., UBS, North American, Tandem Diabetes Care, Deutsche Bank
Investors may not be fully pricing in Merck 's strong treatment pipeline, according to UBS. Analyst Trung Huynh expects that "underappreciated pipeline readouts" will be the primary contributor to multiple expansion for the company. Huynh also noted that investors continue to underestimate the value of two key Merck treatments: Keytruda — used in cancer immunotherapy — and Gardasil, a vaccine targeting HPV. The analyst added that these two treatments and other underappreciated catalysts have all contributed to Merck's above-peer growth profile. The upgrade comes after the Food and Drug Administration approved the use of Keytruda for treatment with "platinum-containing chemotherapy as neoadjuvant treatment " on Monday.
Persons: Trung Huynh, Huynh, , Michael Bloom Organizations: Merck, UBS, Food and Drug Administration Locations: China
Credit Suisse refreshed its "top of the crop" stock picks for August, betting on some big-name stocks as investors continue to feed the markets with optimism. Credit Suisse recently highlighted several stocks the bank's analysts think can outperform this month. "It is increasingly clear that greater service levels in the form of faster delivery is leading to consumers assigning a higher value to Prime" memberships, Credit Suisse said. Credit Suisse also named electronics manufacturer Flex Ltd. as a top pick. Credit Suisse assigned a $126 price target on Merck, which implies 20% appreciation from Friday's closing price.
Persons: Stocks, Stephen Ju, Amazon's, Ju, Shannon Cross, Flex, Cross, Trung Huynh, Merck, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Suisse, Credit Suisse, Amazon, Flex, Merck, Prometheus Biosciences
Wegovy was approved as an obesity treatment in June 2021 , but Ozempic, a Type 2 diabetes treatment, has been used off-label for weight loss. Mounjaro uses GLP-1 and gastric inhibitory polypeptide, or GIP, to help patients lose weight. Eli Lilly's oral drug, orforglipron, has an even better profile . They also could be helpful in assisting patients in maintaining weight loss after they've used the injectable versions, he said. Some have highlighted that oral drugs also may be more manageable for patients who can't handle the idea of giving themselves a once-a-week injection.
Persons: Eli Lilly, we're, Jonathan Wolleben, Wegovy, Lilly's tirzepatide, It's, Mounjaro, Wolleben, Eli Lilly's tirzepatide, Lilly, , Novo, Eli, it's, they've, FactSet, Altimmune's pemvidutide, Morgan Stanley, Mark Purcell, Purcell, Graig Suvannavejh, Suvannavejh, Roth, Dylan Dupuis, Dupuis, Trung Huynh, Goldman Sachs, Chris Shibutani, Shibutani Organizations: Novo Nordisk, JMP Securities, Citizens Company, Nordisk's Ozempic, Food and Drug Administration, Nordisk, Novo, Zealand Pharma, Shandong Suncadia, GSBR, Biosciences, Fujian Shengdi Pharmaceutical, Mizuho Securities, Terns Pharmaceuticals, American Diabetes Association, Viking Therapeutics, Pfizer, Credit Suisse, AstraZeneca, Therapeutics, Medicare, Medicaid, CNBC Pro's Locations: Danish, Shandong, Fujian, Viking
Pfizer 's underperformance could be here to stay, Credit Suisse warned. Analyst Trung Huynh downgraded the pharmaceutical stock to neutral from outperform and cut his price target by $7 to $40. Pfizer said it still has other plans for focusing on obesity, which has been a closely followed area in the pharmaceutical development world. Pfizer has been his worst performing call since the outperform rating at the end of November, with shares underperforming major pharmaceutical peers in the U.S. by 26%. He said concerns that have weighed on the stock include over-optimism on Covid vaccination and booster rates, "ambiguous" guidance on the drug pipeline and negative events for projects in the drug pipeline.
Persons: Trung Huynh, Huynh, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Pfizer, Credit Suisse Locations: U.S, Covid
Credit Suisse analyst Trung Huynh has combed through social media and is impressed by the awareness — and demand — for GLP-1 medications such as Eli Lilly 's Mounjaro. Among those observations are reports of other potential benefits that patients taking Mounjaro, or tirzepatide, are seeing. Others taking the drug reported benefits such as a reduction in addiction behaviors such as smoking, drinking, gambling and shopping, among other things. However, this may be a function of patients who are trying to use Mounjaro off-label for obesity, he said. Credit Suisse has an outperform rating on Lilly shares, with a $490 price target, which implies more than 9% upside from where Lilly shares closed Wednesday.
Persons: Trung Huynh, Eli Lilly, Huynh, Mounjaro, agonism, Lilly hasn't, semaglutide —, Lilly, , Michael Bloom Organizations: Credit Suisse, Food and Drug Administration, Novo Nordisk
Stelara, introduced in 2009, has been J&J’s top-selling drug since 2019, with sales reaching $9.7 billion in 2022. J&J is forecasting $57 billion in pharmaceutical sales by 2025 after reducing its previous view of $60 billion in April, citing currency dynamics that hurt its pharmaceutical business in 2022. That would add around $4.6 billion to average estimates for pharmaceutical sales, as long as no biosimilars enter the market before 2025. Amgen said last month the confidential settlement it signed with J&J will allow it to sell its Stelara biosimilar no later than Jan. 1, 2025. “If no Stelara biosimilars enter in 2024, I think growth should continue at around 4% in 2023 and 2024,” Huynh said.
Persons: Johnson, Amgen, , Vamil, Trung Huynh, ” Huynh, Teva, biosimilar, Divan, Alvotech, Patrick Wingrove, Caroline Humer, Bill Berkrot Organizations: Amgen Inc, Analysts, Stelara, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, New, J, Credit Suisse, Food and Drug Administration, Alvotech’s, Thomson Locations: New Brunswick , New Jersey, Alvotech’s Reykjavik
Lilly manufactures tirzepatide, which is sold under the brand name Mounjaro as a type 2 diabetes treatment. It's the chronic nature of obesity that will make these drugs so profitable, analysts have said. Huynh increased his target due to higher expectations for Mounjaro sales this year. Huynh boosted his prediction for the drug's sales this year to $3.7 billion from an prior estimate of $2.7 billion. "$48 billion is a monster number," Holz said, referring to an annual sales estimate that Bank of America has floated for future Mounjaro sales.
[1/2] A bottle of Johnson and Johnson Baby Powder is seen in a photo illustration taken in New York, February 24, 2016. Some analysts were positive about the new settlement that is far bigger than the original offer of $2 billion, as they believe it could bring an end to the lawsuit. J.P. Morgan analyst Chris Schott said in a note the settlement amount was in-line with the brokerage's estimate of $8 billion to $10 billion. "We believe today's announcement should help the IPO of 20% of the consumer unit," Credit Suisse analyst Trung Huynh said in a note. "Overall, we believe the proposed settlement has vast support by the plaintiff supermajority and the top 18 law firms representing the claimants," Jennings said.
[1/2] A bottle of Johnson and Johnson Baby Powder is seen in a photo illustration taken in New York, February 24, 2016. Some analysts were positive about the new settlement that is far bigger than the original offer of $2 billion, as they believe it could bring an end to the lawsuit. J.P. Morgan analyst Chris Schott said in a note the settlement amount was in-line with the brokerage's estimate of $8 billion to $10 billion. "We believe today's announcement should help the IPO of 20% of the consumer unit," Credit Suisse analyst Trung Huynh said in a note. "Overall, we believe the proposed settlement has vast support by the plaintiff supermajority and the top 18 law firms representing the claimants," Jennings said.
The firm said investors still need to be selective in the space, however, naming two top ideas in Merck and AbbVie . Credit Suisse says U.S. pharma as a group is trading at a price-earning ratio of 16 times to 17 times while defensive sectors utilities and consumer staples have 18-20 P-E ratios, on average. For AbbVie, it sees 11% upside from here, noting it has the "highest dividend yield among peers." "As such, we believe large-cap biopharma should remain a solid outperformer in the coming months, with portfolios requiring diversity in the defensive names. If markets rally on further clarity, we see our higher-growth names, such as Eli Lilly, being insulated from the rotation away from defensives and back into growth names."
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